CSFY
Delhi Assembly Election 2025: Is AAP in Trouble? Exit Polls Suggest a Possible Loss for Arvind Kejriwal

Delhi Assembly Election 2025: Is AAP in Trouble? Exit Polls Suggest a Possible Loss for Arvind Kejriwal

By Sita Joshi
06/02/2025
Share

The speculation about Arvind Kejriwal's Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)'s future in the national capital, after the recent Delhi Assembly elections, had begun in earnest. Perhaps eight out of every ten exit polls track very big shifts in voter sentiment, and indications are that AAP may have a hard road ahead. Although two polls offer glimmering hope for the party, in one, chances of wielding power are too slim to contemplate seriously.

According to the Matrize exit poll, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is expected to win 37 seats, which is just two more than the 35 needed for a majority in the 70-member assembly. Two other polls, WeePreside and Mind Brink, also suggest that AAP will win a third consecutive term for their leader, Arvind Kejriwal. However, other polls indicate that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) might make a comeback, as they were the leading party in Delhi two decades ago. Overall, the exit polls suggest that AAP could win around 30 seats, while the BJP might secure about 39 seats. The Congress party seems to be struggling, with predictions showing they could win a maximum of just three seats.

AAP's Response to Exit Polls

In reaction to poll exit predictions, AAP has firmly dismissed predictions from different agencies. "This is our fourth election, and every time exit polls did not show AAP forming the government in Delhi," AAP leader Sushil Gupta said, optimistic about the party's performance. "Arvind Kejriwal has worked for the people of Delhi. We will see the results in favor of the Aam Aadmi Party, and we will form the government."

AAP's Response to Exit Polls
AAP's Response to Exit Polls

While exit polls are not always right, they have shown a history of correctly predicting AAP's wins in the last two Delhi elections, even if they weren't very accurate about how many seats AAP would win. They also successfully predicted AAP's victory in Punjab, which was the party's second major electoral success.

BJP's Campaign Strategy

The BJP undertook a vigorous campaigning program with advertisements that focused heavily on accusing the AAP of corruption, so much so that the exit poll predictions come as icing on an already delicious cake. AAP grew to Fane under corruption movement spearheaded by Anna Hazare but has faced lots of odds this way. The last two years have seen several AAP leaders put in jail for various corruption allegations-Kejriwal being among them, along with his number-one aide, Manish Sisodia.

One of the biggest controversies is the alleged liquor policy scam, which has received a lot of public attention. There are also allegations against Kejriwal regarding the "Sheesh Mahal," which involves a reported Rs 33.6 crore renovation of the Chief Minister's official residence. This lavish makeover has damaged the party's reputation, as it is seen as a big change from AAP's original approach to governance that had previously won public support.

AAP's Efforts to Rebuild Its Image

Despite these challenges, AAP has tried to improve its image by showcasing its successes in improving education and healthcare. The party has also highlighted its efforts to offer heavily discounted electricity and water bills. However, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has mocked these initiatives, calling them "revdi," which means handouts meant to win votes.

AAP's Efforts to Rebuild Its Image
AAP's Efforts to Rebuild Its Image

However, AAP's governance has had its challenges. The party has faced ongoing conflicts with the Lieutenant Governor (LG), who represents the central government in Delhi and has been given significant powers over the city's officials through new laws. AAP has repeatedly claimed that these powers have made it difficult for them to govern effectively. The party has filed a petition against the LG's authority, which is currently waiting for a decision from a Constitution bench of the Supreme Court.

Grassroots Campaigning Strategy

Because of these significant challenges, AAP has chosen a grassroots approach for its campaign, similar to what worked for them in the 2015 elections. The party is concentrating on simple, door-to-door outreach, which is very different from the BJP's more flashy and high-profile campaign style.

Saturday will be the final countdown for Delhi elections to come out with the true picture, as a lot has changed in the political landscape. The counting will reveal whether AAP can hold on to its foothold in power or will BJP snatch its way back to being the supreme power in the capital.

LATEST NEWS

Gold Prices Surge to Historic $3,000 an Ounce Amid Global Uncertainty
News

Gold Prices Surge to Historic $3,000 an Ounce Amid Global Uncertainty

Gold hit an all time high of $3,005 on Friday as investors flooded to safe haven assets as they worry about the geo-political and economic fallout from Donald Trump’s trade policies.
Karan Singh
14/03/2025
Delhi Weather Update: Rainfall Expected Over the Next Few Days with Temperature Fluctuations
News

Delhi Weather Update: Rainfall Expected Over the Next Few Days with Temperature Fluctuations

The weather in Delhi has taken a turn once again, with several areas experiencing rainfall today, Friday, providing some relief from the humidity. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a weather forecast for the upcoming week, indicating that there is a possibility of rain over the next two days as well.
Sita Joshi
14/03/2025
Who is Gauri Spratt, Aamir Khan's girlfriend? Mom of 6-year-old, owns a salon in Mumbai
News

Who is Gauri Spratt, Aamir Khan's girlfriend? Mom of 6-year-old, owns a salon in Mumbai

Aamir Khan, one of the biggest stars of Bollywood, recently made headlines by introducing his new girlfriend Gauri Spratt just before his 60th birthday. This surprised fans and media alike and for the first time Aamir is talking about his relationship and future with Gauri.
Sita Joshi
14/03/2025
Trump and Maine Governor Janet Mills Engage in Heated Exchange Over Transgender Athlete Policy
News

Trump and Maine Governor Janet Mills Engage in Heated Exchange Over Transgender Athlete Policy

President Donald Trump and Maine Governor Janet Mills had a heated argument at the White House about Trump’s recent order to stop transgender athletes from competing in women’s sports. The disagreement happened during a meeting with governors from both political parties, showing how divided the country remains on transgender rights in sports.
Sita Joshi
22/02/2025
Rekha Gupta's Oath Ceremony: A New Chapter for Delhi Under BJP Leadership
News

Rekha Gupta's Oath Ceremony: A New Chapter for Delhi Under BJP Leadership

On February 20, 2025, Rekha Gupta was sworn in as the Chief Minister of Delhi. It was an important event in the politics of the city. The function was held at Ramlila Maidan and was attended by important BJP leaders like Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Union Home Minister Amit Shah. Gupta is the only woman from the BJP to be a chief minister in any state or Union Territory now, and she is also the fourth woman to be Chief Minister of Delhi.
Karan Singh
20/02/2025
Delhi Welcomes Its Fourth Woman Chief Minister: Rekha Gupta
News

Delhi Welcomes Its Fourth Woman Chief Minister: Rekha Gupta

February 20, 2025: Rekha Gupta is the new CM of Delhi. A huge crowd of BJP supporters and her family gathered outside her Shalimar Bagh residence to celebrate. Drums and slogans filled the air “Sabko dekha, aa gayi Rekha” (we have seen everyone, now Rekha has arrived) and “Jai Shri Ram”
Sita Joshi
20/02/2025